BetEdge exists to maximize your value — sharp signals, real tools, and complete analysis. Part of that value is honesty, so here is the full tracked record, exactly as it stands. Betting carries variance; some content is high-conviction sharp analysis, some is engagement (longshots, lotto). Read it with that in mind.
The model's flagged moneyline BETs. The headline number is Kelly-staked — sized to the model's edge, so a strong play risks more than a thin one. That is why it differs from the flat figure: same picks, different bet sizes. Both are shown because quoting the bigger one without its staking is how a record gets overstated.
Every posted card at its real stake — sharp plays, parlays, longshots and lotto combined. Longshot/lotto content is for engagement, not a tracked +EV claim.
They measure different things, so we show both rather than picking the flattering one:
The gap is mostly staking and content mix, not two versions of the truth: a flat-staked signal and a variably-staked card list will diverge, and volatile longshot content drags the blended line. We publish both so you can judge the model and the cards separately.
Bookkeeping note: the headline total above is our running ledger, which counts every leg (a parlay is several outcomes). The curve and the table below are rebuilt from the per-card log (422 settled cards, -251.6u), so their endpoint differs from the -262.8u headline. We are reconciling the two; both are shown rather than quietly publishing whichever looks better.
Only picks we actually published are counted. Every leg is graded from final scores, wins and losses alike. Nothing is guaranteed. 21+.
Our tracked MLB moneyline record (258-208, +6.1% ROI) at 1 unit flat. Set your unit size:
Illustration only, at 1u flat on the tracked sample. Past results never guarantee future outcomes. 21+.
| Content | Record | Hit | Staked | Units | ROI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parlays | 20-144-1 | 12.2% | 444u | -111.9u | -25.2% | |
| Pick of the Day | 54-67-2 | 44.6% | 581u | -142.1u | -24.5% | |
| Singles | 51-43-2 | 54.3% | 416u | -10.6u | -2.5% | |
| Moneyline parlays | 4-28 | 12.5% | 40u | +7.5u | +18.7% | |
| Lotto longshots | 0-3 | 0.0% | 2u | -2.5u | -100.0% | |
| Underdog parlays (high odds) | 2-1 | 66.7% | 3u | +8.0u | +265.0% |
Hit rate counts wins vs losses (pushes excluded). ROI is units returned on units staked, so it accounts for the different stake sizes above.
The value in BetEdge is the model and the tools: sharp moneyline signals, the edge table, the fantasy war room and analyzer, and full pre-game analysis you can act on yourself. The pick record is published in full so you can judge it — not because any outcome is promised.
Informational sports analysis for entertainment, 21+. Past results — win or lose — never guarantee future outcomes. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Problem gambling? Call 1-800-522-4700.